World Cup Update - After 11/27 Matches

Giants continue to fall at this World Cup... Morocco stuns the Red Devils 2-0 bringing Belgium to the brink of elimination!  This now stands as the biggest upset of this tournament! (72 elo points exchanged)


Group E has evened out, and is arguably the wildest group in the tournament, with all 4 teams having legit possibilities to finish in any 4 spots in the group standings.  Costa Rica have a puncher's chance as a draw gives them a great chance to advance, as long as Spain defeats Japan.  But any of the 4 teams can likely advance with a win next week.  Must watch TV...

Group F sees our 2nd team eliminated from the cup, as the exciting Canadian squad hopped on Croatia early but gave up 4 on the back end to lose their 2nd match and exit the tournament.  The scenarios for the other 3 teams are moderately simple, as a win will get them to the RO16, but a loss will put them into peril.

Model Summary

Group Stage Forecast

Odds Changes by Group


Knockout Stage Projection

Forecast for tomorrow's games


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