World Cup - Semifinal Preview

Another blasted break from the football... but we're into the final stretch!!  Let's take a look at the state of the model as we head into the final 3 games of the tournament.


Morocco still remains the longshot of the tournament with still below 10% odds to win the whole thing... but all of these are well within the realm of possibility if things bounce their way.  Argentina is the first team to eclipse 50% odds to win at any point in the tournament, where you would theoretically take them over the field to win.  This is obviously because the previous favorite, Brazil, was eliminated, and Argentina's massive elo rating advantage stands alone, now.

Let's have a look at the changes each of these teams have seen since the beginning of the tournament:

And here are their odds at the beginning, to refresh:

Game Forecasts


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