2026 World Cup Qualifying (Live Updates)

Live updated World Cup 2026 Qualifying Models:

Note: All models use set FIFA Rankings based on the most current rankings.  Changes in rankings will affect models.

AFC (8 Direct, 1 Playoff)

Qualified: Japan, Iran, Jordan, South Korea, Uzbekistan, Australia

Round 1 (COMPLETE)

The bottom 20 ranked teams play in home-and-away head-to-head matchups.  Winners advance to Rd 2

Round 2 (COMPLETE)

Remaining 36 teams (Top 26 ranked + 10 Rd 1 winners) drawn into 9 groups of 4.  Play a double round robin.  Top 2 finishers in each group advance to Rd 3

Round 3 (COMPLETE)

Remaining 18 teams (Top 2 from each Rd 2 group) drawn into 3 groups of 6.  Play a double round robin.  Top 2 finishers in each group qualify directly to World Cup.  3rd/4th place finishers in each group advance to Rd 4

Round 4 (2/3 matchdays complete)

Remaining 6 teams (3rd/4th place finishers from each Rd 3 group) drawn into 2 groups of 3.  Play single round robin.  Winner of each group qualifies directly to World Cup.  2nd place teams advance to Rd 5

Round 5

Remaining 2 teams (2nd place teams from each Rd 4 group) play one match at a neutral site.  Winner qualifies to Intercontinental Playoff

Update - 10/11/25

CAF (9 Direct, 1 Playoff)

Qualified: Morocco, Tunisia, Egypt, Algeria, Ghana, Cabo Verde

Round 1 (9/10 matchdays complete)

54 Teams drawn into 9 groups of 6 teams.  Play a double round robin.  Top finisher in each group qualifies directly to World Cup.  Top 4 runners up advance to Rd 2

Round 2

4 remaining teams drawn into 2 semifinal matches.  Single-leg matches played.  Winners play in single-leg match.  Winner qualifies for Intercontinental Playoff

Update - 10/13/25

CONCACAF (6 Direct, 2 Playoff)

Qualified: United States, Mexico, Canada

Round 1 (COMPLETE)

Teams ranked 29-32 are drawn into pairs, and play a home-and-away series.  Winners advance to Rd 2

Round 2 (COMPLETE)

30 remaining teams (Teams ranked 4-28 & 2 winners from Rd 1) are drawn into 6 groups of 5 teams.  play single round robin.  Top 2 teams in each group advance to Rd 3

Round 3 (3/6 matchdays complete)

12 remaining teams drawn into 3 groups of 4.  Play double round robin.  Group winners qualify directly to World Cup.  2 best runners-up qualify to Intercontinental Playoff

Update - 10/13/25

CONMEBOL (6 Direct, 1 Playoff)

Qualified: Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, Uruguay, Ecuador, Paraguay

IPO: Bolivia

Round 1 (COMPLETE)

10 teams play double round robin.  Top 6 finishers qualify directly to the World Cup.  7th place qualifies for the Intercontinental Playoff

Update - 9/9/25

OFC (1 Direct, 1 Playoff)

Qualified: New Zealand

IPO: New Caledonia

Round 1 (Complete)

Teams ranked 8-11 play a single-round knockout tournament.  Winner moves on to Rd 2

Round 2 (Complete)

8 remaining teams (Teams ranked 1-7 and winner of Rd 1) are drawn into 2 groups of 4.  Play double round robin.  Top 2 finishers in each group move on to Round 3

Round 3 (Complete)

4 remaining teams are drawn into semifinal pairings.  Play single-leg semifinal.  Winners play single-leg final.  Winner qualifies directly to World Cup.  Loser qualifies to Intercontinental Playoff

Update - 3/24/25

UEFA (16 Direct)

Round 1

54 (as Russia is currently excluded) teams drawn into groups of 4 or 5 teams (tentatively based on UEFA Nations League Post-Group Stage Rankings).  Play double round robin.  Group winners qualify directly to World Cup.  Runners-up advance to Rd 2

Round 2 (7/10 matchdays complete)

16 teams (12 runners-up from Rd 1, 4 highest ranked Group Winners from '24-'25 Nations League that didn't already directly qualify) drawn into 4 playoff paths, with 2 semifinals each.  Semifinals are hosted by seeded teams.  Winners play in a final to qualify directly to World Cup

Update - 10/13/25