2026 World Cup Qualifying (Live Updates)
Live updated World Cup 2026 Qualifying Models:
Note: All models use set FIFA Rankings based on the most current rankings. Changes in rankings will affect models.
AFC (8 Direct, 1 Playoff)
Qualified: Australia, Iran, Japan, Jordan, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, South Korea, Uzbekistan
IPO: Iraq
Round 1 (COMPLETE)
The bottom 20 ranked teams play in home-and-away head-to-head matchups. Winners advance to Rd 2
Round 2 (COMPLETE)
Remaining 36 teams (Top 26 ranked + 10 Rd 1 winners) drawn into 9 groups of 4. Play a double round robin. Top 2 finishers in each group advance to Rd 3
Round 3 (COMPLETE)
Remaining 18 teams (Top 2 from each Rd 2 group) drawn into 3 groups of 6. Play a double round robin. Top 2 finishers in each group qualify directly to World Cup. 3rd/4th place finishers in each group advance to Rd 4
Round 4 (COMPLETE)
Remaining 6 teams (3rd/4th place finishers from each Rd 3 group) drawn into 2 groups of 3. Play single round robin. Winner of each group qualifies directly to World Cup. 2nd place teams advance to Rd 5
Round 5 (COMPLETE)
Remaining 2 teams (2nd place teams from each Rd 4 group) play one match at a neutral site. Winner qualifies to Intercontinental Playoff
Update - 11/13/25
CAF (9 Direct, 1 Playoff)
Qualified: Algeria, Cabo Verde, Egypt, Ghana, Ivory Coast, Morocco, Senegal, South Africa, Tunisia
IPO: DR Congo
Round 1 (COMPLETE)
54 Teams drawn into 9 groups of 6 teams. Play a double round robin. Top finisher in each group qualifies directly to World Cup. Top 4 runners up advance to Rd 2
Round 2 (COMPLETE)
4 remaining teams drawn into 2 semifinal matches. Single-leg matches played. Winners play in single-leg match. Winner qualifies for Intercontinental Playoff
Update - 11/16/25
CONCACAF (6 Direct, 2 Playoff)
Qualified: Canada, Curaçao, Haiti, Mexico, Panama, United States
IPO: Jamaica, Suriname
Round 1 (COMPLETE)
Teams ranked 29-32 are drawn into pairs, and play a home-and-away series. Winners advance to Rd 2
Round 2 (COMPLETE)
30 remaining teams (Teams ranked 4-28 & 2 winners from Rd 1) are drawn into 6 groups of 5 teams. play single round robin. Top 2 teams in each group advance to Rd 3
Round 3 (COMPLETE)
12 remaining teams drawn into 3 groups of 4. Play double round robin. Group winners qualify directly to World Cup. 2 best runners-up qualify to Intercontinental Playoff
Update - 11/18/25
Qualified: Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, Ecuador, Paraguay, Uruguay
IPO: Bolivia
Round 1 (COMPLETE)
10 teams play double round robin. Top 6 finishers qualify directly to the World Cup. 7th place qualifies for the Intercontinental Playoff
OFC (1 Direct, 1 Playoff)
Qualified: New Zealand
IPO: New Caledonia
Round 1 (Complete)
Teams ranked 8-11 play a single-round knockout tournament. Winner moves on to Rd 2
Round 2 (Complete)
8 remaining teams (Teams ranked 1-7 and winner of Rd 1) are drawn into 2 groups of 4. Play double round robin. Top 2 finishers in each group move on to Round 3
Round 3 (Complete)
4 remaining teams are drawn into semifinal pairings. Play single-leg semifinal. Winners play single-leg final. Winner qualifies directly to World Cup. Loser qualifies to Intercontinental Playoff
Update - 3/24/25
UEFA (16 Direct)
Qualified: Austria, Belgium, Croatia, England, France, Germany, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Scotland, Spain, Switzerland
Round 1 (COMPLETE)
54 (as Russia is currently excluded) teams drawn into groups of 4 or 5 teams (tentatively based on UEFA Nations League Post-Group Stage Rankings). Play double round robin. Group winners qualify directly to World Cup. Runners-up advance to Rd 2
Round 2
16 teams (12 runners-up from Rd 1, 4 highest ranked Group Winners from '24-'25 Nations League that didn't already directly qualify) drawn into 4 playoff paths, with 2 semifinals each. Semifinals are hosted by seeded teams. Winners play in a final to qualify directly to World Cup
Update - 11/20/25
Hello, can your model be downloaded in Excel somewhere?
ReplyDeleteIf you want, send me an email and I can get you any info you need
Deleteahill2323@gmail.com
Deletegood job mate
ReplyDeletegood work dopers, sorry I didn’t comment on this earlier. this is definitely going in my bookmarks.
ReplyDeleteYour comment is bookmarked in my heart
DeleteCan you add an intercontinental playoff table? Could be quite interesting to see how high Bolivia's chances are rated now, with quite a bit uncertainty in possible opponents
ReplyDeleteawesome
ReplyDeleteFollowing these World Cup qualifying stages live really shows how much structure and strategy go into modern football, especially when you look at how each round narrows the field and changes the odds for different teams. As a fan, it’s fun to track form and momentum, and that same analytical mindset often carries over into a casino environment, where understanding odds, choosing the right slots, and timing your moves can influence potential winnings. A lot of people now keep everything in one place on their phone, using a smooth application like the bet365 app to stay connected during matches and breaks alike. Whether it’s watching qualifiers unfold or checking odds between games, having quick mobile access makes the whole experience more engaging and interactive.
ReplyDeleteThe 2026 World Cup qualifying structure in the AFC region is intense when you see it laid out like that, five rounds with double round robins and single round shootouts really test squad depth and consistency. It is impressive that teams like Australia, Japan and South Korea secured direct spots, while others had to grind through Round 4 and 5 just to reach the intercontinental playoff. The format feels almost like a tournament inside a tournament, especially with rankings influencing the early draws. Following live updates and models makes it easier to track probabilities and group dynamics as results come in. These days many fans prefer mobile access for quick stats and updates, and it is simple to download and install apps through www.1win-bet-online.net/ios/ for convenient tracking. With so many stages completed, the road to 2026 is shaping up to be one of the most competitive yet.
ReplyDelete